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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
Aston Villa logo
Newcastle
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Aston Villa

Aston Villa secured a routine win in the reverse fixture against Newcastle earlier this season, but they are set to face a different proposition on Sunday and could be in for a challenging afternoon in the North-East. Confidence is beginning to grow within the Magpies camp and although they will be desperate to claim another three points here, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
34.54%27.68%37.78%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89%57.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.99%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77%31.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43%67.57%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85%65.15%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 34.53%
    Aston Villa 37.78%
    Draw 27.68%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Newcastle United
39.6%
Draw
25.2%
Aston Villa
35.1%
202
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Ings (45+3'), El Ghazi (62' pen.)
Luiz (45+1'), Martinez (75'), Buendia (85')

Wilson (41'), Hayden (45'), Murphy (57'), Schar (84')
Mar 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
1-1
Aston Villa
Lascelles (90+4')
Krafth (52'), Lascelles (68')
Watkins (86')
McGinn (74'), Sanson (77'), Mings (78')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Watkins (13'), Traore (42')

Schar (26'), Carroll (54'), Lascelles (57')
Jun 24, 2020 6pm
Nov 25, 2019 8pm
[nma]
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Newcastle UnitedNewcastle11005143
2Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton11004133
3Manchester CityMan City11003033
4Arsenal11002113
5Crystal Palace11001013
6Fulham11001013
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham10101101
8Bournemouth10101101
9Chelsea00000000
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Brentford00000000
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest100112-10
16Everton100101-10
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd100101-10
18Luton TownLuton100114-30
19Burnley100103-30
20Aston Villa100115-40

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