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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
33.99% ( 0.02) | 27.68% ( -0) | 38.33% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.84% ( 0.01) | 57.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.98% ( 0.01) | 78.02% ( -0.01) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( 0.02) | 31.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.98% ( 0.02) | 68.01% ( -0.02) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0.01) | 28.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( -0.01) | 64.78% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |