Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.