Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 60.67%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.2%) and 2-3 (5.53%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.