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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Reading win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 29.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Port Vale |
45.17% ( 0.06) | 25.14% ( 0.02) | 29.69% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% ( -0.13) | 48.21% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( -0.12) | 70.37% ( 0.13) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( -0.03) | 21.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.67% ( -0.05) | 54.33% ( 0.05) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% ( -0.12) | 30.01% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( -0.15) | 66.14% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 72 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 66 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 66 |
4 | Barnsley | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 60 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 57 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 56 |
7 | Stevenage | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 53 |
8 | Blackpool | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 45 |
11 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 45 |
12 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 43 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 40 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 39 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 38 |
16 | Reading | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 38 |
17 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 38 |
18 | Burton Albion | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 38 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 35 |
20 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 33 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 32 |
22 | Port Vale | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 31 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 26 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |