MX23RW : Wednesday, February 21 00:07:40| >> :120:7132:7132:
PSV
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Dortmund logo
PSV
1 - 1
Dortmund
de Jong (56' pen.)
Lozano (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malen (24')
Maatsen (42'), Schlotterbeck (45+1')
The Match
Match Report
PSV Eindhoven fight back to draw 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund in their Champions League last-16 first leg thanks to a controversial Luuk de Jong penalty.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 24.32% and a draw has a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.98%).

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawBorussia Dortmund
55.69% (5.064 5.06) 19.98% (-0.878 -0.88) 24.32% (-4.187 -4.19)
Both teams to score 68.78% (-0.92100000000001 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.83% (0.492 0.49)28.16% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.05% (0.61 0.61)48.94% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (1.528 1.53)10.4% (-1.531 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.06% (3.355 3.36)33.94% (-3.359 -3.36)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-2.379 -2.38)23.24% (2.377 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-3.599 -3.6)57.15% (3.597 3.6)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 55.69%
    Borussia Dortmund 24.32%
    Draw 19.98%
PSV EindhovenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.82% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.566 0.57)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.97% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.684 0.68)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.536 0.54)
4-2 @ 2.81% (0.212 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.524 0.52)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.334 0.33)
4-3 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.168 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.295 0.3)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.69%
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-3 @ 2.42% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.674 -0.67)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.403 -0.4)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.562 -0.56)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.484 -0.48)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: PSV vs Dortmund

PSV Eindhoven
45.0%
Draw
21.1%
Borussia Dortmund
33.9%
407
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
International Friendlies
Dortmund
4-1
PSV
Reus (19'), Kagawa (40'), Schurrle (53'), Pulisic (74')
De Jong (57')
rhs 2.0
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