Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
1 - 3
Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
Another close-fought contest is set to unfold between two well-matched sides, following their tense goalless stalemate in October. Both clubs' Group F fate may be decided on the final matchday following a low-scoring draw at San Siro. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.84% ( 0.02) | 23.43% ( -0.13) | 31.72% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.06% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
