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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
0 - 1
Lanus


Diaz (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boggio (73')
Luciatti (41'), Boggio (58')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 3-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, February 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Platense
Sunday, February 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawLanus
31.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 30.59% (-0.256 -0.26) 38.34% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 40.19% (0.616 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.8% (0.729 0.73)67.2% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.6% (0.488 0.49)85.4% (-0.488 -0.49)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (0.437 0.44)39.1% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (0.407 0.41)75.81% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.54100000000001 0.54)34.02% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (0.58 0.58)70.7% (-0.581 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 31.08%
    Lanus 38.33%
    Draw 30.57%
SarmientoDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.32% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 13.29% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.57%
0-1 @ 14.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.075 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.33%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 12am
Gameweek 5
Lanus
0-0
Sarmiento
Diaz (17'), Pena Biafore (27'), Esquivel (53')
Diaz (45+1'), Calcaterra (69'), Marinelli (75'), Fontana (86')
Marinelli (75'), Mainero (90+5')
Apr 22, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Lanus
2-1
Sarmiento
Diaz (28' pen., 45+1')
Lopez (68')
Aug 6, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Sarmiento
2-1
Lanus
Lopez (6', 45+3')
Aguirre (69')
Sep 4, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Lanus
1-1
Sarmiento
Sand (59')
Belmonte (61'), Burdisso (79')
Alanis (90+5' pen.)
Arismendi (45+1'), Bravo (75')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
First Phase
Sarmiento
1-0
Lanus
Torres (66' pen.)
Martin Pombo (40'), Graciani (73'), Francisco Vazquez (81')

Perez (52'), Luis Gomez (90+4'), Bernabei (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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