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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Bilino Polje
Ukraine national football team

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Ukraine

Matviyenko (56' og.)
Kolasinac (9'), Gazibegovic (26'), Ahmedhodzic (79'), Kovacevic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yaremchuk (85'), Dovbyk (88')
Matviyenko (16'), Konoplya (58'), Yaremchuk (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Slovakia
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Ukraine

All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Italy
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-2 Ukraine

 A tight affair which could be forced beyond the 90 minutes is a possibility on Thursday, although none of Bosnia's last 12 home matches have ended in a draw, while Ukraine have drawn just one of their last 13 games on the road. Ukraine arguably boast the stronger squad, on paper, with Rebrov able to call upon a number of Premier League stars, and considering that they showed signs of promise in recent draws with Italy, Germany and England, they should find a way to come out on top against Bosnia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 32.47% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).

Result
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawUkraine
42.34% (-0.518 -0.52) 25.18% (0.203 0.2) 32.47% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-0.575 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.802 -0.8)47.26% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.75 -0.75)69.49% (0.746 0.75)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.58699999999999 -0.59)22.26% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (-0.889 -0.89)55.71% (0.886 0.89)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.194 -0.19)27.68% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.251 -0.25)63.23% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 42.34%
    Ukraine 32.47%
    Draw 25.18%
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Bosnia H'vina vs Ukraine

Bosnia-Herzegovina
20.1%
Draw
8.9%
Ukraine
70.9%
179
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bosnia H'vina
0-2
Ukraine

Demirovic (66'), Hadzikadunic (90+3')
Zinchenko (59'), Dovbyk (79')
Zabarnyi (66')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
1-1
Bosnia H'vina
Yarmolenko (15')
Ahmedhodzic (77')
Civic (11'), Ahmedhodzic (19'), Prevljak (64')
> Preview
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