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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Chad national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
Mauritius national football team

Chad
vs.
Mauritius

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Chad and Mauritius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: Chad 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 0-0 Angola
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We say: Chad 0-1 Mauritius

 Mauritius come into this match the more settled of these sides and with solid preparation over the last year. They recently held Angola to a goalless draw in World Cup qualifying, and we feel they will edge this one by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chad win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Mauritius has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chad win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Mauritius win is 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
ChadDrawMauritius
39.92% (-0.338 -0.34) 26.38% (0.486 0.49) 33.7% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-1.624 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-2.069 -2.07)52.07% (2.072 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-1.816 -1.82)73.79% (1.817 1.82)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-1.115 -1.11)25.62% (1.116 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (-1.544 -1.54)60.5% (1.544 1.54)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-1.106 -1.11)29.25% (1.108 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-1.382 -1.38)65.21% (1.383 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Chad 39.92%
    Mauritius 33.7%
    Draw 26.37%
ChadDrawMauritius
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.501 0.5)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.92%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.598 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.469 0.47)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.7%

Who will win Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Chad and Mauritius?

Chad
Draw
Mauritius
Chad
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Mauritius
33.3%
3
rhs 2.0
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