MX23RW : Friday, March 22 00:19:24| >> :120:83567:83567:
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Turkmenistan national football team

Iran
5 - 0
Turkmenistan

Kanani (10', 48'), Azmoun (13'), Mohebi (56'), Noorafkan (90+2')
Fallah (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Turkmenistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Iran 4-0 Turkmenistan

Iran are the overwhelming favorites in this fixture and should win with a comfortable margin. Turkmenistan have recorded seven losses in their ten-match winless streak heading into this game and the clear underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkmenistan has a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.87%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it is 0-1 (3.72%).

Result
IranDrawTurkmenistan
72.32% (0.514 0.51) 17.51% (-0.038 -0.04) 10.16% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 44.97% (-1.659 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2% (-1.241 -1.24)43.79% (1.235 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81% (-1.225 -1.22)66.18% (1.22 1.22)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (-0.205 -0.2)10.71% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (-0.455 -0.45)34.63% (0.447 0.45)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.36% (-1.742 -1.74)49.63% (1.736 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.6% (-1.251 -1.25)84.4% (1.245 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Iran 72.31%
    Turkmenistan 10.16%
    Draw 17.51%
IranDrawTurkmenistan
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.49 0.49)
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.54 0.54)
3-0 @ 9.88% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.52% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.47% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.176 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 72.31%
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.51%
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.16%

How you voted: Iran vs Turkmenistan

Iran
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Turkmenistan
7.7%
13
rhs 2.0
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