Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 1st Leg
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Gibraltar0 - 1Lithuania
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-6 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
We said: Gibraltar 0-2 Lithuania
Whether it would be more beneficial in the short-term to drop into League D given that a routine playoff spot could be on the cards is up for debate, but Lithuania will see this tie as an opportunity to claim two important wins which will help morale and their World Ranking. Gibraltar had shown signs of improvement when being promoted to League C a few years back, but 2023 saw them regress heavily, and back-to-back defeats are likely this week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 76.49%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for Gibraltar has a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-2 with a probability of 18.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (18.21%) and 0-3 (12.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.01%), while for a Gibraltar win it is 1-0 (3.47%).
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Lithuania |
5.99% ( -0.54) | 17.52% ( 0.43) | 76.49% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 27.74% ( -3.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
