MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:02:05| >> :120:11642:11642:
Poland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Estonia national football team

Poland
5 - 1
Estonia

Frankowski (22'), Zielinski (50'), Piotrowski (70'), Mets (73' og.), Szymanski (76')
Puchacz (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vetkal (78')
Paskotsi (15')
Paskotsi (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Latvia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Estonia
Friday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Poland 4-0 Estonia

To say that Estonia earned a golden ticket to the Euro 2024 playoffs would be an understatement, and the gulf in quality between the two clubs should be apparent from the get-go. The visitors may have pulled off a giant killing of Poland 12 years ago, but with the Eagles recently proving to be an unbeatable force at home in Euros qualifiers, a straightforward passage to the final should await the hosts on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 70.77%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estonia has a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estonia win it is 0-1 (4.53%).

Result
PolandDrawEstonia
70.77% (0.60599999999999 0.61) 19.71% (-0.12 -0.12) 9.52% (-0.4881 -0.49)
Both teams to score 36.25% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (-0.773 -0.77)54.47% (0.772 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (-0.647 -0.65)75.83% (0.64500000000001 0.65)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)14.27% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)42.06% (0.111 0.11)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.29% (-1.493 -1.49)57.71% (1.491 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.56% (-0.842 -0.84)89.43% (0.839 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Poland 70.74%
    Estonia 9.52%
    Draw 19.71%
PolandDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 16.03% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 15.6% (0.4 0.4)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.232 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.93% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 70.74%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.245 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.71%
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-2 @ 2.42% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 9.52%

How you voted: Poland vs Estonia

Poland
88.7%
Draw
8.0%
Estonia
3.3%
150
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!