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Nepal national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Bahrain national football team

Nepal
0 - 5
Bahrain


Dangi (57')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Al-Humaidan (2'), Baqer (9'), Madan (45+4'), Al Khatal (87'), Abdulatif (90+6' pen.)
Adel Mohamed Ali Hasan (14'), Al Hayam (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Nepal and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Yemen
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 1-3 Japan
Wednesday, January 31 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Nepal 0-2 Bahrain

Bahrain have come agonisingly close to qualifying for the World Cup on a couple of occasions within the past two decades, and have consistently punched above their weight at recent Asia Cups. Nepal, on the other hand, are clearly minnows at this stage of qualifying and may struggle to score a single goal across six matches. We expect a comfortable victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw has a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nepal has a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Nepal win it is 1-0 (9.07%).

Result
NepalDrawBahrain
21.39% (-1.31 -1.31) 27.8% (0.197 0.2) 50.81% (1.114 1.11)
Both teams to score 40.55% (-1.833 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.55% (-1.605 -1.61)63.45% (1.606 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.21% (-1.169 -1.17)82.79% (1.17 1.17)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.32% (-2.301 -2.3)45.68% (2.302 2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.53% (-1.862 -1.86)81.47% (1.863 1.86)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.203 -0.2)25.34% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.28 -0.28)60.13% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Nepal 21.39%
    Bahrain 50.8%
    Draw 27.8%
NepalDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.88% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.39%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 11.57% (0.67 0.67)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 15.89% (0.84 0.84)
0-2 @ 10.9% (0.51 0.51)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% (0.206 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 50.8%

How you voted: Nepal vs Bahrain

Nepal
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
Bahrain
33.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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