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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.01% ( 0.04) | 22.52% ( -0) | 42.47% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 66.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.22% ( 0.02) | 33.78% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.38% ( 0.02) | 55.62% ( -0.02) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% ( 0.03) | 19.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.99% ( 0.05) | 52.01% ( -0.04) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.39% ( -0.01) | 16.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.57% ( -0.02) | 46.44% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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