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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Reading |
49.04% ( 0.02) | 25.96% ( 0) | 25% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.55% ( -0.01) | 54.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( -0.01) | 75.81% ( 0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0) | 22.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( 0.01) | 55.65% ( -0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.98% ( -0.02) | 37.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.19% ( -0.02) | 73.8% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |