Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad - La Liga - January 13, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 1

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Berenguer (30', 42')
Gomez (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Oyarzabal (88')
Barrenetxea (61'), Merino (90'), Elustondo (90+3'), Le Normand (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad

Both teams will be missing some important players this weekend, but Real Sociedad have been hit the hardest in terms of absentees. Under normal circumstances, we would be backing a draw here, but Athletic can take advantage of the away side's problems to secure a vital three points in the Basque derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Sociedad
39.5% ( 0.29)	27.28% ( -0.06)	33.21% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 49.66% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

0.19)

55.78% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

0.16)

76.91% (

-0.16)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

0.26)

27.58% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.33)

63.1% (

-0.33)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.06)

31.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.07)

67.81% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 39.5%

Real Sociedad 33.21%

Draw 27.28%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.5%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.21%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

71.8%

Draw

16.9%

Real Sociedad

11.3%

Head to Head

Sep 30, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 8

3-0

Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')

Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm

Gameweek 29

2-0

Williams (33', 70')

Jan 14, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 17

3-1

Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)

Sancet (40')

Feb 20, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 25

4-0

Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')

Oct 31, 2021 8pm

Gameweek 12

1-1

Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')

Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')