Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
45.51% ( -0.07) | 27.43% ( -0.01) | 27.06% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.08) | 58.51% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.06) | 79.09% ( -0.06) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% ( -0) | 25.66% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.43% ( 0) | 60.57% ( -0) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.51% ( 0.1) | 37.48% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% ( 0.1) | 74.26% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |