Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.