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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Heerenveen
FC Twente
1 - 0
Heerenveen
Vlap (65')
Regeer (49'), Rots (57'), van Wolfswinkel (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haye (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Vitesse
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen

FC Twente have a phenomenal record on their own patch, having gone undefeated at De Grolsch Veste in the Eredivisie across the whole of the 2022-23 campaign. The Tukkers have kicked off with three wins from three at home this season, so they should have no problem brushing aside an out-of-form Heerenveen side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawHeerenveen
70.38% (0.94 0.94) 16.67% (-0.28 -0.28) 12.95% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.954 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.26% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)31.73% (0.278 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.74% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)53.25% (0.328 0.33)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (0.125 0.13)8.05% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.66% (0.32000000000001 0.32)28.33% (-0.322 -0.32)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (-1.127 -1.13)36.8% (1.123 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (-1.141 -1.14)73.59% (1.138 1.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 70.38%
    Heerenveen 12.95%
    Draw 16.67%
FC TwenteDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.258 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.265 0.27)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.97% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 2.51% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.05% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 70.38%
1-1 @ 7.46% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.96% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.67%
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 2.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.95%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Heerenveen

FC Twente
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Heerenveen
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 1.30pm
FC Twente
4-0
Heerenveen
Vlap (11'), Propper (22'), Brenet (45'), Misidjan (68')
Sadilek (9'), Zerrouki (34')

Haye (55')
Jun 1, 2023 5.45pm
Heerenveen
1-2
FC Twente
Haye (45+1')
van Ottele (55'), van Ewijk (63'), Colassin (71')
Cerny (19'), Ugalde (90+3')
Ugalde (81'), van Wolfswinkel (81')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
FC Twente
3-3
Heerenveen
Propper (34'), Ugalde (48'), Cerny (55')
Hilgers (25' og.), Van Ewijk (59'), Kaib (90')
Sep 18, 2022 1.30pm
Jan 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-0
Heerenveen
Ugalde (77'), Van Wolfswinkel (88' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV99003032727
2AZ AlkmaarAZ98102542125
3Feyenoord97203262623
4FC Twente97111961322
5Go Ahead Eagles104331715215
6Sparta RotterdamSparta104331213-115
7SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior93421615113
8Heracles103341422-812
9PEC Zwolle103251217-511
10Heerenveen103161321-810
11Fortuna SittardSittard10244817-910
12NECNijmegen92341416-29
13RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk9306717-109
14Almere CityAlmere City10235819-119
15Vitesse10226716-98
16FC UtrechtUtrecht10217820-127
17Ajax71241116-55
18FC VolendamVolendam8116818-104

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