Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Roma |
51% ( -0.01) | 25.32% ( -0) | 23.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.9% ( 0) | 53.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.32% ( 0) | 74.67% ( -0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( -0) | 20.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% ( -0) | 53.51% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% ( 0.01) | 37.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.75% ( 0.01) | 74.24% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 12.24% 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |