Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
25.68% ( 0.03) | 26.48% ( -0.23) | 47.84% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% ( 0.85) | 55.9% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( 0.69) | 77.01% ( -0.69) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( 0.49) | 37.22% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( 0.48) | 74% ( -0.48) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.46) | 23.39% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0.67) | 57.38% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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