Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Roma |
30.66% ( 0.52) | 29.04% ( 0.09) | 40.29% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 43.94% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.42% ( -0.15) | 62.58% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.84% ( -0.11) | 82.16% ( 0.11) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.16% ( 0.31) | 36.84% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.37% ( 0.31) | 73.63% ( -0.31) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -0.43) | 30.42% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( -0.51) | 66.62% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 30.66% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |