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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 17.31% and a draw has a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (4.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.69%).
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
65.48% ( 0.44) | 17.2% ( 0.05) | 17.31% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 67.97% ( -1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.43% ( -1.18) | 24.56% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.65% ( -1.57) | 44.35% ( 1.57) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.79% ( -0.23) | 7.21% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.84% ( -0.61) | 26.16% ( 0.6) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -1.26) | 26.74% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( -1.69) | 62.02% ( 1.69) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.98% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.2% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.2% Total : 17.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5 | 30 | 30 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 |
3 | FC Twente | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 8 | 25 | 23 |
5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
9 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
11 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 7 |
17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
18 | Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |