MX23RW : Sunday, October 29 06:04:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1 - 2
AZ
van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlidis (45'), de Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Ajax 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have a solid record against Ajax, and they have looked a far superior side at the beginning of the season, currently sitting 14 points clear in the Eredivisie table. As such, we think the visitors may be able to pick up a narrow victory this weekend, extending their unbeaten run to eight Eredivisie games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
37.51% (0.704 0.7) 23.91% (0.186 0.19) 38.57% (-0.89 -0.89)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.657 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-0.872 -0.87)40.41% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (-0.90199999999999 -0.9)62.79% (0.90199999999999 0.9)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)21.63% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.75% (0.055 0.05)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.11% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-1.262 -1.26)53.94% (1.261 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 37.51%
    AZ Alkmaar 38.57%
    Draw 23.91%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.112 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 38.57%

How you voted: Ajax vs AZ

Ajax
35.0%
Draw
10.0%
AZ Alkmaar
55.0%
40
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
Dec 12, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV99003032727
2AZ AlkmaarAZ98102542125
3Feyenoord97203262623
4FC Twente97111961322
5Go Ahead Eagles104331715215
6Sparta RotterdamSparta104331213-115
7SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior93421615113
8Heracles103341422-812
9PEC Zwolle103251217-511
10Heerenveen103161321-810
11Fortuna SittardSittard10244817-910
12NECNijmegen92341416-29
13RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk9306717-109
14Almere CityAlmere City10235819-119
15Vitesse10226716-98
16FC UtrechtUtrecht10217820-127
17Ajax71241116-55
18FC VolendamVolendam8116818-104

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