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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
May 8, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ
2 - 2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')

Preview: AZ Alkmaar vs. Ajax - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

AZ Alkmaar entertain the challenge of Ajax at the AFAS Stadion on Sunday in matchday 32 of the 2021-22 Eredivisie season.

The hosts set out to return to winning ways having dropped points last time out, while the away side go in search of an eighth straight league victory.


Match preview

Ajax's Sebastien Haller celebrates scoring their second goal on November 3, 2021© Reuters

Ajax saw off the threat of relegation-threatened PEC Zwolle in a comfortable 3-0 victory at the Johan Cruyff ArenA on Saturday.

Dusan Tadic's 30th-minute opener set Erik ten Hag's men on their way before Davy Klaassen netted twice in the second period to put the result beyond doubt.

De Godenzonen remain four points clear of PSV Eindhoven at the top of the league standings and are just two wins away from being confirmed as champions.

They will be looking to move one step closer to glory when they take on an opposing side who have lost four of the last five clashes between the teams.

However, Ajax's only defeat in that time came back in December's reverse fixture, which finished 2-1 in favour of this weekend's opponents.

AZ Alkmaar coach Pascal Jansen before the match on March 10, 2022© Reuters

AZ Alkmaar failed to win on the road for the fourth game running following a 1-1 draw against Sparta Rotterdam at the Het Kasteel on Saturday.

Pascal Jansen's men took the lead shortly after half time through Vangelis Pavlidis before Vito van Crooy netted a late equaliser to restore parity.

The Cheeseheads sit fifth in the league table but missed the chance to close the gap on FC Twente in the battle for an automatic Conference League playoff spot.

Having won 16 of their last 20 home matches across all competitions, Sunday's hosts will be confident of securing a victory that will arguably be their most impressive of the campaign.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

AZ Alkmaar form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Ajax Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Ajax form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W


Team News

Ajax's Steven Berghuis celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Hobie Verhulst remains unavailable for AZ due to a finger injury, while Jelle Duin is currently recuperating from a knee problem.

This weekend's hosts will have to make do with the absence of 19-year-old Yusuf Barasi, who continues to nurse a muscle injury.

Ryan Gravenberch and Antony are notable absentees for Ajax, with the duo sidelined through ankle injuries as Sean Klaiber also misses out through a damaged knee.

With Remko Pasveer and Andre Onana both out of action, Maarten Stekelenburg will retain his place between the sticks once again.

Following his opener last time out, Dusan Tadic has now directly contributed to 30 league goals this term, and the Serbian is one to keep an eye on.

AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Vindahl; Wijndal, Martins Indi, Beukema, Sugawara; Clasie, Midtsjo; Karlsson, Reijnders, Aboukhlal; Pavlidis

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Stekelenburg; Tagliafico, Blind, Timber, Rensch; Taylor, Alvarez, Kudus; Tadic, Haller, Berghuis


SM words green background

We say: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax

Both teams still have a lot to play for this season, so we expect a thrilling affair with plenty of goalmouth action. That said, we fancy Ajax to carry the day and move within touching distance of yet another league title.




Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline is AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax with a probability of 11.05% and the second most likely scoreline is AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Ajax with a probability of 10.96%.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Game History

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Ajax
64.7%
34
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Ajax winger Antony pictured in September 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002322121
2Feyenoord86202862220
3AZ AlkmaarAZ76102031719
4FC Twente76011441018
5SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior83411411313
6Go Ahead Eagles84131715213
7Sparta RotterdamSparta7322109111
8Heracles83231217-511
9Fortuna SittardSittard7232711-49
10NECNijmegen82241315-28
11Vitesse8215611-57
12PEC Zwolle8215714-77
13Heerenveen82151018-87
14Almere CityAlmere City8215718-117
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7205514-96
16Ajax5122710-35
17FC VolendamVolendam7115716-94
18FC UtrechtUtrecht8107417-133

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