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Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
3 - 1
Queretaro
Lopez (2', 66'), Volpi (58' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanvezzo (40')
Gularte (36'), Barrera (61'), Escamilla (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 2-2 Toluca
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-0 Queretaro
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawQueretaro
53.17% (2.261 2.26) 22.67% (-0.362 -0.36) 24.16% (-1.904 -1.9)
Both teams to score 58.57% (-0.807 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (-0.145 -0.15)41.37% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-0.148 -0.15)63.76% (0.142 0.14)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.735 0.73)15.58% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (1.356 1.36)44.55% (-1.362 -1.36)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-1.579 -1.58)30.61% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14% (-1.908 -1.91)66.85% (1.902 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 53.17%
    Queretaro 24.16%
    Draw 22.66%
TolucaDrawQueretaro
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.276 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.456 0.46)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.229 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.403 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.242 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.355 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.16%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Queretaro
1-0
Toluca
Torres (31')
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Nahuelpan (63')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 7
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca

Mendoza (48'), Aguerre (87')
Fernandez (90+5')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 1
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
9.30pm
Browns
@
Texans
Result
Draper
Lehecka
6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915

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