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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
45.4% ( -0.04) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 32.09% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 65.69% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.2% | 34.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.23% ( -0) | 56.77% ( 0.01) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% ( -0.01) | 15.9% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% ( -0.03) | 45.15% ( 0.03) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( 0.02) | 21.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( 0.03) | 55.15% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.4% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 32.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
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