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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stevenage |
25.48% | 25.4% ( -0) | 49.12% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% ( 0) | 51.92% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( 0) | 73.67% ( -0) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.78% ( 0) | 35.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.02% ( 0) | 71.97% ( -0) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( 0) | 21.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.98% ( 0) | 54.01% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 49.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |