Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.64% ( 0.1) | 24.78% ( 0.03) | 45.57% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.06) | 46.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.06) | 68.96% ( 0.06) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( 0.04) | 29.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( 0.05) | 65.23% ( -0.05) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0.08) | 20.56% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -0.13) | 53.07% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 22 | 30 | 51 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 49 |
3 | Arsenal | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 49 |
4 | Aston Villa | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 44 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 36 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 35 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 33 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 32 |
11 | Chelsea | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 31 |
12 | Bournemouth | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 27 |
13 | Fulham | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 26 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 24 |
15 | Brentford | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 22 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 21 |
17 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 20 |
18 | Everton | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
19 | Burnley | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 13 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 59 | -40 | 10 |
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