Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Everton | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Aston Villa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Everton | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Aston Villa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
50.68% ( 0.22) | 25.7% ( -0.15) | 23.63% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.39% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( 0.51) | 54.54% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( 0.42) | 75.89% ( -0.42) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.31) | 21.56% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( 0.47) | 54.63% ( -0.47) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.68% ( 0.22) | 38.32% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% ( 0.21) | 75.07% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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