Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Everton had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
39.56% | 28.55% | 31.89% |
Both teams to score 45.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.34% | 60.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.26% | 80.74% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% | 29.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% | 66% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% | 34.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% | 71.63% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 23 | 28 | 54 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 52 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 41 |
6 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Chelsea | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 31 |
11 | Aston Villa | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 25 |
14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 24 |
15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
17 | Bournemouth | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 21 |
18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 19 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 18 |
> Full Version |