Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.