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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.65% ( 0.01) | 28.15% ( 0) | 24.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.49% ( -0.01) | 62.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.89% ( -0.01) | 82.11% ( 0.01) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% | 26.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% | 61.61% ( 0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.71% ( -0.01) | 42.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% ( -0.01) | 78.68% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 14.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.86% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 24.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 |
3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 37 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 47 |
16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
18 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 43 |
19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 36 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 |
24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 |
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