MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:06:41| >> :120:11918:11918:
Liechtenstein national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Iceland national football team

Liechtenstein
0 - 7
Iceland


Wolfinger (60'), Wieser (64'), Sele (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kristjan Olafsson (3'), Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Gunnarsson (48', 68', 73' pen.), Gudjohnsen (85'), Egill Ellertsson (87')
Finnbogason (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Liechtenstein and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-0 Iceland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Liechtenstein 0-3 Iceland

There is not much down for the 198th-ranked side in the world in this match or in this section, as Liechtenstein will likely finish without a point. Iceland need to respond after a woeful showing in Zenica, and three points will be the absolute minimum requirement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 96.12%. A draw had a probability of 3.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-3 with a probability of 20.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (17.47%) and 0-2 (17.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.83%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (0.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
LiechtensteinDrawIceland
0.25% (-0.014 -0.01) 3.63% (-0.1379 -0.14) 96.12% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 7.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.11% (0.667 0.67)30.88% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.75% (0.789 0.79)52.25% (-0.791 -0.79)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
7.31% (-0.0869 -0.09)92.69% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.27% (-0.0079 -0.01)99.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.95% (0.116 0.12)3.05% (-0.1179 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.3% (0.407 0.41)13.7% (-0.409 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Liechtenstein 0.25%
    Iceland 96.09%
    Draw 3.63%
LiechtensteinDrawIceland
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 0.25%
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 3.63%
0-3 @ 20.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 17.47% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 17.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-5 @ 12.19% (0.21 0.21)
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-6 @ 7.1% (0.2 0.2)
0-7 @ 3.54% (0.136 0.14)
0-8 @ 1.54% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 96.09%

How you voted: Liechtenstein vs Iceland

Liechtenstein
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Iceland
75.0%
64
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group J
Iceland
4-0
Liechtenstein
Teitur Thordarson (19'), Gudmundsson (35' pen., 79' pen.), Gudjohnsen (89')

Marxer (34'), Frommelt (58')
Marxer (63')
Mar 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group J
Liechtenstein
1-4
Iceland
Frick (79')
Mar Saevarsson (12'), Bjarnason (45+1'), Palsson (77'), Mar Sigurjonsson (90+4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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