MX23RW : Friday, October 13 05:16:00| >> :120:19349:19349:
Portugal national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Liechtenstein national football team
Portugal
4 - 0
Liechtenstein
Cancelo (8'), Silva (47'), Ronaldo (51' pen., 63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Portugal and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up for their Euro 2024 qualifier against Liechtenstein in Lisbon on Thursday.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Portugal
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Portugal 7-0 Liechtenstein

In a clash between top and bottom seeds in Group J, this appears to be a complete mismatch on paper. Liechtenstein will just try to keep the score down in a fixture which will almost certainly have one winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 99.33%. A draw had a probability of 0.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 5-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (16%) and 6-0 (14.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.52%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawLiechtenstein
99.33% (0.0040000000000049 0) 0.64% (-0.003 -0) 0.02% (-0.0011 -0)
Both teams to score 4.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.62% (0.031000000000006 0.03)10.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
77.07% (0.055999999999997 0.06)22.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)0.54% (-0.003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
96.65% (0.012 0.01)3.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
4.25% (-0.015 -0.01)95.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.09%99.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 99.31%
    Liechtenstein 0.03%
    Draw 0.64%
PortugalDrawLiechtenstein
5-0 @ 16.72%
4-0 @ 16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 14.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 12.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
7-0 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
8-0 @ 7.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
9-0 @ 4.13% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
10-0 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
11-0 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 99.31%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 0.64%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 0.03%

How you voted: Portugal vs Liechtenstein

Portugal
86.6%
Draw
7.1%
Liechtenstein
6.3%
239
rhs 2.0
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