Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.45%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.