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Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Burkina Faso
0 - 0
Eswatini

Dayo (79')
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 3-1 Burkina Faso
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Burkina Faso 3-1 Eswatini

Despite having already secured their AFCON ticket, Burkina Faso will be keen to confirm their place as group winners with all three points here. We are backing the home side to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawEswatini
54.67% (0.119 0.12) 25.86% (-0.02 -0.02) 19.46% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 42.86% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.08% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)79.53% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.036000000000001 0.04)21.73% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (0.055 0.05)54.91% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.76% (-0.134 -0.13)45.23% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88% (-0.105 -0.11)81.12% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 54.67%
    Eswatini 19.46%
    Draw 25.86%
Burkina FasoDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 15% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.83% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.46%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Eswatini

Burkina Faso
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Eswatini
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
Eswatini
1-3
Burkina Faso
Ndzinisa (64')
Thwala (25'), Mkhonta (29')
Mkhonta (84')
Ouattara (69', 75'), Aziz Ki (85')
Kabore (38'), Bandaogo (61'), Dayo (74')
rhs 2.0
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