Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.