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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Valencia logo
Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Valencia
de Marcos (32'), Berenguer (90+7')
Paredes (12'), Garcia (55'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (62'), Duro (68')
Amallah (57')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Cadiz
Monday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia

Valencia are certainly good enough to claim a positive result on Sunday, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw here. Athletic have been strong at home this season, though, and we are expecting Valverde's side to navigate their way to what would be an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
51.9% (-0.75 -0.75) 25.97% (0.35 0.35) 22.13% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.873 -0.87)56.84% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.704 -0.7)77.77% (0.706 0.71)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)21.98% (0.678 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-1.037 -1.04)55.28% (1.038 1.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)41.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)77.61% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 51.89%
    Valencia 22.13%
    Draw 25.97%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 51.89%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.246 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia

Athletic Bilbao
80.7%
Draw
12.3%
Valencia
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Jan 26, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
De Marcos (43' og.)
Muniain (35'), Williams (45'), Vesga (74' pen.)
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Valencia
Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Valencia
Alvarez (8'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (90'), Simon (90+9')
Diakhaby (26'), Moriba (53'), Guillamon (72')
Guillamon (90+8')
Mar 2, 2022 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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