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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Athletic Bilbao logo
Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Athletic Bilbao
Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Getafe
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with both sides in strong form in the early stages of the season. It would not be a surprise to see a winner here either way, but we just have a feeling that the two teams will share the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
34.83% (0.675 0.68) 28.22% (0.138 0.14) 36.95% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.92% (-0.45 -0.45)59.08% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.47% (-0.349 -0.35)79.53% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.215 0.22)32.04% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.245 0.24)68.5% (-0.244 -0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.72 -0.72)30.68% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.859 -0.86)66.93% (0.86000000000001 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.82%
    Athletic Bilbao 36.95%
    Draw 28.21%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
47.9%
Draw
39.4%
Athletic Bilbao
12.7%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 29
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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