Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Jan 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
1 - 3
Athletic Bilbao
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Almeria
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
A low-scoring closely-fought contest is to be expected on Thursday, considering that no more than two goals have found the net in any of the last six meetings. Valencia have struggled against top-flight teams in recent months and they may find it challenging to grind out a result here, with Bilbao potentially scraping through with a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.67% ( 0.37) | 26.05% ( -0.38) | 35.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
