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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Madrid logo
Athletic Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Berchiche (50'), Vivian (58'), Herrera (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benzema (24'), Kroos (90')
Camavinga (62'), Junior (79')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Real Madrid

 This is another huge test for Real Madrid, with Athletic a very dangerous opponent. The Basque outfit have struggled to pick up wins in the league of late, though, and with Ancelotti's side chasing Barcelona, we are backing the reigning champions to navigate their way to a huge win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
31.53% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.07% (-0.012 -0.01) 42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)73.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.52% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)58.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.53%
    Real Madrid 42.39%
    Draw 26.06%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.39%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao
14.4%
Draw
13.8%
Real Madrid
71.8%
188
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Real Madrid
Sancet (10')
Vencedor (43'), Garcia (61')
Benzema (4', 7')
Junior (42'), Camavinga (62')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Madrid

Berenguer (14'), Garcia (79'), Martinez (80'), Marcelino (90')
Garcia (89')
Nacho (68')
Nacho (82'), Valverde (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724
> La Liga Full Table
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