Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
17.5% | 22.15% | 60.35% |
Both teams to score 50% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% | 47.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% | 69.97% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.1% | 40.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.54% | 77.46% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% | 15.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.63% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.14% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 0-2 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.15% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.27% Total : 60.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 6 | 30 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 38 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Osasuna | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 28 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mallorca | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 25 |
11 | GironaGirona | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Valencia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
14 | Almeria | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Sevilla | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 17 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 17 |
19 | CadizCadiz | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 16 |
20 | ElcheElche | 18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 6 |
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