Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.