Lazio can play with a certain amount of freedom considering their Champions League spot is already sealed, and a wounded Cremonese side are unlikely to pose any problems for the hosts.
Cremonese will be starved of matches at historic grounds such as Stadio Olimpico when they ply their trade in Serie B next season - the Gray and Reds will probably not be too fond of their trip to Rome at the full-time whistle, however.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
0.47) 
-0.49) 
