Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
54.11% ( 0.16) | 23.42% ( 0.32) | 22.47% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 53.95% ( -1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( -1.91) | 46.51% ( 1.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% ( -1.82) | 68.79% ( 1.82) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% ( -0.63) | 17.1% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% ( -1.13) | 47.3% ( 1.13) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -1.5) | 34.92% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -1.61) | 71.66% ( 1.61) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.86% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 22.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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