Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.