Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.