MX23RW : Wednesday, May 31 01:01:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (44'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-2 River Plate

As good as Velez Sarsfield have been defensively at home, River have been far more consistent from one match to another and we expect their backline to be relatively comfortable containing an attack without much quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
26.44% (-0.634 -0.63) 26.66% (0.331 0.33) 46.91% (0.31 0.31)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-1.423 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (-1.611 -1.61)56.08% (1.619 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-1.325 -1.33)77.15% (1.331 1.33)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-1.397 -1.4)36.67% (1.406 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-1.432 -1.43)73.46% (1.438 1.44)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.55 -0.55)23.9% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.8 -0.8)58.11% (0.807 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 26.44%
    River Plate 46.9%
    Draw 26.65%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.533 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.9%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
gameweek 7
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs00000000
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal00000000
3Atletico TucumanTucuman00000000
4BanfieldBanfield00000000
5Barracas Central00000000
6ColonColon00000000
7GimnasiaGimnasia00000000
8HuracanHuracan00000000
9IndependienteIndependiente00000000
10Instituto00000000
11River PlateRiver Plate00000000
12Rosario CentralRosario00000000
13TalleresTalleres00000000
14Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield00000000
Group B
1BelgranoBelgrano00000000
2Boca Juniors00000000
3Central CordobaC. Cordoba00000000
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa00000000
5EstudiantesEstudiantes00000000
6Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz00000000
7LanusLanus00000000
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB00000000
9Platense00000000
10Racing ClubRacing00000000
11San Lorenzo00000000
12Sarmiento00000000
13TigreTigre00000000
14UnionUnion00000000
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate18132331112041
2San Lorenzo1810531971235
3TalleresTalleres18104431161534
4EstudiantesEstudiantes189542014632
5Defensa y JusticiaDefensa1886423121130
6Rosario CentralRosario188642522330
7LanusLanus178542416829
8BelgranoBelgrano188461515028
9Boca Juniors188372216627
10Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB187561615126
11Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz187562020026
12Sarmiento186661815324
13Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs186572117423
14Platense186572023-323
15TigreTigre185761719-222
16Barracas Central185761721-422
17GimnasiaGimnasia186481625-922
18Instituto185671421-721
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba185581421-720
20ColonColon1831051720-319
21Racing ClubRacing175482027-719
22Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield173951817118
23IndependienteIndependiente183961721-418
24HuracanHuracan184681521-618
25Atletico TucumanTucuman183961420-618
26BanfieldBanfield184681220-818
27UnionUnion173681022-1215
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal1842121426-1214

Real Madrid Until The End
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